Tignor’s at it again.
Nadal has lost just two matches on the surface in the last two years. The year before that, he didn’t lose any. For the next six weeks, you must begin each tournament by picking Nadal to win and then asking who has the best chance, percentage-wise, to stop his march to the trophy ceremony. The rest of the field has three more opportunities this spring — maybe two, if, as Nadal has hinted, he skips the event in Madrid because he fears the altitude will throw off his preparation for Paris. Who, as of today, stands the best chance of doing the impossible?
Highest percentage given? 15% to Djokovic.
Then again, as I’m writing this, I’m watching Nadal make two of the most outrageous gets I’ve ever seen in his opening match in Rome against Andreas Seppi. Right now, all those percentages I’ve cited just look like lonely, pointless numbers. At the moment, I’d say these guys have about as much chance of beating him as you or I do of not having to pay our taxes.
(And no, I didn’t post this just as an excuse to post that photo. Nope. Not me.)